Forecasting Turkey's cattle and sheep manure based biomethane potentials till 2026

Abstract

In this study, Turkey's cattle and sheep manure based biomethane potentials are forecasted till 2026. Novel to this study, semi-empirical models based on per capita meat consumption and milk production are used to forecast Turkey's cattle and sheep population. It is estimated that Turkey's cattle and sheep population in 2026 could reach up to 18.7 and 39.2 million, respectively. At these population levels, Turkey's cattle and sheep manure based biomethane generation could reach up to 1.99 billion m(3) and 0.15 billion m(3), respectively. This is equal to a total of nearly 2.14 billion m(3) of biomethane in 2026. This amount of biomethane could provide nearly 6,600 GWh of electricity or supply nearly 2.9% of Turkey's natural gas demand in 2026.